研究论文
田广生.中国气候变化影响研究概况[J].环境科学学报,2000,20(1):36-39
中国气候变化影响研究概况
- Review of the Climate Change Impact Study in China
- 摘要:介绍了目前我国在未来气候变化影响研究方面的概况,气候影响研究采用的方法多为政府间气候变化专业委员会(IPCC)第二工作组提出的气候变化影响评价方法。未来气候变化影响研究是在大气中CO2浓度加倍,或气温、降水变化的情景下,进行未来农业、林业、水资源、生态环境以及海平面上升等方面的潜在影响研究,其中有模型研究、实验室研究、宏观研究和适应对策研究等。这些研究采用的未来气候情景多为GCM模型预测的气候情景.
- Abstract:The climate change impact study in China were reviewed.Most of the climate impact research methods are climate change impact assessment methods recommended by the Second Working Group of International Panel on Climate Change(IPCC).The research is on the potential impact of atmospheric CO 2 concentration doubling, precipitation change and temperature increase scenarios on agriculture, forestry, water resources, ecological environment and sea level increase, etc.and involves model research, laboratory research, regional research and adaptation measures research, etc.The future climate scenarios are mostly those in GCM model.
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